高载能企业电价承受能力测算及分析
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(1.国网宁夏省电力公司经济技术研究院,宁夏 银川 750001;2.国网宁夏省电力公司发展规划部,宁夏 银川 750001)

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黄宗宏(1969-),男,本科,高级工程师,主要研究方向为电力系统及其自动化,电力市场;E-mail:zongkonghuan@ 163.com
王诚良(1970-),男,本科,高级工程师,主要研究方向为电力系统及其自动化,电网规划;E-mail:nxwcl@ 163.com
赵利军(1972-),男,本科,高级工程师,主要研究方向为电网运行控制技术,电网规划。E-mail:13995117785@ 163.com

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Calculation and analysis of energy-intensive enterprise’s electrovalence affordability
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(1. State Grid Ningxia Electric Power Eco-Tech Research Institute, Yinchuan 750001, China;2. State Grid Ningxia Development & Planning Division, Yinchuan 750001, China)

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    摘要:

    在中国经济进入中低速增长的新常态和国家加大产业结构调整、节能减排政策力度的背景下,高载能产业发展态势逐年疲软。此外,由于高载能产业用能成本占比较大,未来电力市场电价的波动存在不确定性,也会在一定程度上影响高载能产业的发展,从而对地区负荷的稳定和发展造成影响。根据高载能产业的成本构成,应用多因素敏感度分析法建立了企业电价承受能力测算模型。结合现阶段高载能行业所面临的市场环境,对其电价承受能力进行分析,并指出未来电力市场电价的波动是对地区用电市场发展一个重大考验。

    Abstract:

    The recent years have witnessed a surge in the development of China’s “new normal” economic strategy with lower GDP nationwide, subsequently the power consumption industry has been subjected to go through a bottleneck due to industrial structure reorganization and energy saving. Furthermore, electricity price can be fluctuated in the future power market in response to higher energy cost, which may influence further development in power consumption industry and then make region load unstable. In the light of the cost proportion in power consumption industry, the enterprise electrovalence affordability calculating model via multifactor sensibility analysis is applied in this research. Taking current market condition into consideration, herein this paper analyzes electrovalence affordability of power consumption industry to highlight the importance of the impact of electricity price fluctuation in the future market exerted on regional power consumption.

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黄宗宏,王诚良,赵利军,等.高载能企业电价承受能力测算及分析[J].电力系统保护与控制,2017,45(9):138-143.[HUANG Zonghong, WANG Chengliang, ZHAO Lijun, et al. Calculation and analysis of energy-intensive enterprise’s electrovalence affordability[J]. Power System Protection and Control,2017,V45(9):138-143]

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  • 收稿日期:2016-03-31
  • 最后修改日期:2016-08-25
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  • 在线发布日期: 2017-05-15
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