| 引用本文: | 王 翔,范 睿,陈国富,等.考虑动态供能可靠性的电热综合能源系统日前两阶段调度模型[J].电力系统保护与控制,2025,53(16):97-107. |
| WANG Xiang,FAN Rui,CHEN Guofu,et al.A two-stage day-ahead scheduling model for integrated electro-thermal energy systems considering dynamic energy supply reliability[J].Power System Protection and Control,2025,53(16):97-107 |
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| 摘要: |
| 电热综合能源系统运行机理复杂，元件运行状态对元件故障率及电热系统备用水平均具有较大影响，影响系统供能可靠性。研究了电热综合能源系统元件运行状态对系统故障概率及电、热备用分布的影响，建立了考虑动态供能可靠性的电热综合能源系统日前两阶段调度模型。首先，考虑供能元件和传输元件在不同负载率下故障概率变化，建立了适用于日前调度模型求解的元件故障概率计算模型。其次，考虑热网的等效储热、电热耦合单元的转换效率，建立了考虑电热转换效率的电热备用容量模型，挖掘电热综合能源系统故障状态下的备用能力。最后，建立考虑动态供能可靠性的电热综合能源系统两阶段调度模型。通过优化机组日前运行状态改善各元件故障概率，在控制系统安全风险的同时降低了运行成本。并通过算例分析验证了所建模型的正确性和有效性。 |
| 关键词: 电热综合能源系统 故障概率 电热备用 供能可靠性 |
| DOI：10.19783/j.cnki.pspc.241464 |
| 分类号: |
| 基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目资助(72188101) |
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| A two-stage day-ahead scheduling model for integrated electro-thermal energy systems considering dynamic energy supply reliability |
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WANG Xiang1, FAN Rui1, CHEN Guofu1, WANG Shuai2, MA Yinghao2, CAI Zhiyuan1, LI Honghao1
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1. State Key Laboratory of Advanced Power Transmission Technology (China Electric Power Research Institute), Beijing 102209,
China; 2. Anhui Province Key Laboratory of New Energy Utilization and Energy Saving
(Hefei University of Technology), Hefei 230009, China
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| Abstract: |
| Electro-thermal integrated energy systems have complex operating mechanisms, where the operational states of system components significantly impact both their failure rates and the reserve levels of the electric and thermal subsystems, thereby affecting overall energy supply reliability. The influence of the operating state on the failure probability and the distribution of power and heat reserve capacity is studied, and a two-stage scheduling model considering dynamic energy supply reliability is established. First, considering the variation of failure probability of the energy supply and transmission components under different load rates, a components failure probability model suitable for day-ahead scheduling is established. Second, considering the conversion efficiency of the equivalent heat storage and electro-thermal coupling units, the model of electro-thermal reserve capacity considering the conversion efficiency is established to explore the flexibility capacity of IEHS under failure states. Finally, a two-stage scheduling model of the IEHS considering the reliability of dynamic energy supply is established. By optimizing the day-ahead operational status of generating units, the model improves component reliability while reducing operating costs and controlling system safety risks. Case studies verify the accuracy and effectiveness of the proposed model. |
| Key words: integrated heat and electricity system (IEHS) failure probability electric and thermal reserve energy supply reliability |
